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jev-deferred-crispification

Position paper arguing per-hop calibration does not compose in decision pipelines and proposing deferred crispification.

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Overview

This repository is a position paper on what Jev and other System One models are missing. It argues that the typed Choice, Score and Noul interface lacks two primitives: a hidden-Markov belief over latent regimes and fuzzy membership for borderline predicates. Two lemmas state that calibration does not compose across pipeline hops and that thresholding at each hop causes cliff cascades.

It proposes a design law, deferred crispification (keep structured uncertainty through the pipeline and collapse to an action only once), a reference architecture called BSF-S1, and two weight-free audit metrics, TCE and AMS. A key claim is that per-hop ECE is permutation-invariant and so cannot detect clustered regime-shift errors that harm trajectories. Everything is said to reproduce on a laptop CPU in about fifteen minutes.

What the decision model decides

TypeQuestionAnswers
OtherDoes per-hop calibration guarantee reliable multi-step decision trajectories?(inferred)—

How it works

  1. State the missing primitives and failure modes
  2. Prove two lemmas on composition and cascades
  3. Propose deferred crispification and the BSF-S1 architecture
  4. Provide TCE and AMS audit metrics with CPU-reproducible scripts

Strengths

  • Highlights a blind spot of per-hop ECE dashboards
  • Audit metrics need no model weights
  • Reproducible on a laptop CPU

Caveats

  • Theoretical position paper; not peer reviewed per the sources
  • Does not provide a drop-in replacement for Jev

At a glance

Type
Project
Status
research
Language
Python
Runtime
CPU scripts
Has code
yes

Use cases and integrations

How curated lists describe it

  • Position paper: the Hidden-Markov and fuzzy primitives missing from TypeSafe…

    wh000wh000/awesome-jev-live
  • Position paper: the Hidden-Markov and fuzzy primitives missing from TypeSafe AI's Jev and System-One decision models. Two lemmas, one principle (Deferred Crispification), one architecture (BSF-S1).

    hellogumbo/awesome-jev

Frequently asked questions

What is the main claim?

Calibrated per-step decisions can still produce unreliable trajectories, and ECE cannot detect this.

What is deferred crispification?

Keeping structured uncertainty through a pipeline and converting to a hard action only at the end.

Can I run the metrics?

Yes, the README says everything reproduces on a laptop CPU in about fifteen minutes.

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