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jev-calibration-audit

Independent API-only audit of what Jev's probabilities mean: abstain removal, Korean, coherence, option order, interference and caching.

ProjectresearchMIT

Overview

jev-calibration-audit is an independent audit of the calibration of Jev using only public HTTP calls and public datasets, with no weights, fine-tuning or distillation. It starts from the observation that published measurements disagree, finding Jev near-calibrated on one corpus, under-confident on another and over-confident on post-cutoff phishing data, without confidence intervals, and that TypeSafe publishes no reliability curve or explanation of its confidence field.

Seven experiments, about 7,000 calls costing under a dollar, report: removing the abstain option drops accuracy on unanswerable items from 0.950 to 0.000, raises the stereotype rate from 0.03 to 0.79 at 0.79 confidence, and ECE from 0.023 to 0.793; Korean lowers accuracy by 6.5 points on identical items but calibration is unchanged; probabilities are not a coherent property of the judgment, with complements summing to 0.71-1.42 and a Noul versus a two-option Choice differing by 0.125 on average; there is no option-order bias (zero argmax flips in 400); bundling 16 questions barely changes answers; identical requests are not cached (50 identical requests gave 15 distinct answers); and latency from Seoul is 280 ms p50. Code is MIT and raw records are published.

What the decision model decides

TypeQuestionAnswers
OtherDo Jev's probabilities mean what they say across domains, wording, languages and bundling?—

How it works

  1. Design experiments on public datasets
  2. Run controlled API calls with variants (abstain, language, order, bundling)
  3. Measure ECE, coherence, flips and latency
  4. Publish raw records and findings

Strengths

  • Covers coherence, invariance and interference, not just accuracy
  • Very cheap and reproducible
  • Includes Korean, previously unevaluated

Caveats

  • API-only; cannot explain internal causes
  • Specific to model version tested

At a glance

Type
Project
Status
research
Language
Python
Runtime
research scripts
Has code
yes
License
MIT

Use cases and integrations

How curated lists describe it

Frequently asked questions

What happens without an abstain option?

Jev answers unanswerable items confidently and stereotypically; ECE jumps from 0.023 to 0.793.

Is there option-order bias?

No, zero argmax flips in 400 tests.

Are repeated identical requests deterministic?

No, 50 identical requests produced 15 distinct answers.

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